Last month I had brought up some considerations regarding the Democratic Presidential race in a vague attempt to shed light upon an ugly situation. Will their free press propel either candidate through November 4th, or will the supporters of the losing candidate tend to shun the victor?
Here are a few more considerations. There are voters out there who are probably not paying the least attention to the race right now, yet either Democratic contender is pounding the scene with name recognition. Make no mistake, there will be voters out there more inclined to vote for either of them merely because they will have heard their name far more than McCain's.
That said, there will be others out there, though not as many, I'm afraid, who will vote for McCain for that same reason.
Much of Obama's support is with younger voters; many of the older voters are completely turned off by him. If he wins, advantage McCain.
However, here's a new one. In that earlier blurb I made some comments about speaking to the base. Regardless of the winner, by the time the August convention is finished, the last balloon has been popped, and the last protester arraigned, a substantial amount of campaigning has been directed precisely there, to the base of the party, those whose views, even amongst the party itself, tend to be the most extreme, and will therefore bill themselves as decidedly more extreme. McCain has the opportunity of dealing with a broader spectrum of voters right now, and relative advantage normally held by incumbents. McCain will be able to appear as something akin to a "compromise," whereas neither Democrat will be able to appear even somewhat moderate.
For those out there who dread the possibilities, perhaps this last one will help calm those damaged nerves.
Thursday, April 3, 2008
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